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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. A few months ago ago @pluralistic described the AI bubble thusly:

A few months ago ago @pluralistic described the AI bubble thusly:

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  • jef@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
    jef@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
    jef@mastodon.social
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    A few months ago ago @pluralistic described the AI bubble thusly:

    "The collapse of the AI bubble is going to be ugly. Seven AI companies currently account for more than a third of the stock market, and they endlessly pass around the same $100b IOU."

    I've been thinking of it as a check-kiting scam, but it's really simpler than that: it's a game of Hot Potato. Whoever has the IOU when the bubble pops loses the round. The rest scavenge the parts and then start shaking VC trees for the next round.

    threesigma@mastodon.onlineT 1 Reply Last reply
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    • jef@mastodon.socialJ jef@mastodon.social

      A few months ago ago @pluralistic described the AI bubble thusly:

      "The collapse of the AI bubble is going to be ugly. Seven AI companies currently account for more than a third of the stock market, and they endlessly pass around the same $100b IOU."

      I've been thinking of it as a check-kiting scam, but it's really simpler than that: it's a game of Hot Potato. Whoever has the IOU when the bubble pops loses the round. The rest scavenge the parts and then start shaking VC trees for the next round.

      threesigma@mastodon.onlineT This user is from outside of this forum
      threesigma@mastodon.onlineT This user is from outside of this forum
      threesigma@mastodon.online
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      @jef @pluralistic

      Of course, just like all the other crashes, it will turn out that no one with any wealth actually owns the debt, and so the price will be paid by many innocent people. So it goes.

      mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM ceejbot@toot.catC 2 Replies Last reply
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      • threesigma@mastodon.onlineT threesigma@mastodon.online

        @jef @pluralistic

        Of course, just like all the other crashes, it will turn out that no one with any wealth actually owns the debt, and so the price will be paid by many innocent people. So it goes.

        mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
        mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
        mastodonmigration@mastodon.online
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        @ThreeSigma @jef @pluralistic

        Endowments, 401Ks and Index funds

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        • threesigma@mastodon.onlineT threesigma@mastodon.online

          @jef @pluralistic

          Of course, just like all the other crashes, it will turn out that no one with any wealth actually owns the debt, and so the price will be paid by many innocent people. So it goes.

          ceejbot@toot.catC This user is from outside of this forum
          ceejbot@toot.catC This user is from outside of this forum
          ceejbot@toot.cat
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          @ThreeSigma @jef @pluralistic

          This right here. None of the debt is *actually* going to be paid by the dipshits currently incurring it.

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