> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber the data center bubble is clearly dumb, but I think the railroad line might be the most interesting/misleading one on the graph.
Or maybe it is the Interstate line that is misleading...or potentially misleading? Idk, no graph is ever going to be perfect, but yeah...
anyway...
It seems to equate rail spending and road spending, but the Interstate system is not the entire federal road system.
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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber
Mirror, mirror on the wall, who's the over-leveragedest of them all? -
@cwebber imagine all the things that could have been done with that money if it was spent on stuff that benefited the general public instead
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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber utterly insane.
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R relay@relay.publicsquare.global shared this topic
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@cwebber with the exception of some railroads, all of those were government run programs. So yeah, private industry can deploy far more private capital than the US government can deploy taxed income. Not surprising.
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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber luckily we will never need another data center ever again

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@balcanquhal @cwebber so we're agreeing that this chart is misleading and meaningless but in different ways...?
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@cwebber the data center bubble is clearly dumb, but I think the railroad line might be the most interesting/misleading one on the graph.
Or maybe it is the Interstate line that is misleading...or potentially misleading? Idk, no graph is ever going to be perfect, but yeah...
anyway...
It seems to equate rail spending and road spending, but the Interstate system is not the entire federal road system.
@musicman
I've been working my way through _Railroaded_ https://app.thestorygraph.com/books/ac561c89-bdeb-453c-be0a-348eb2f288e5 and if anything it makes me think the railroad line is *too steep* - railroads in the second half of the 19th century were massively over-leveraged and overbuilt (especially in the American West), and a very large fraction of the investment went into the pockets of the financiers rather than into construction. Which... sounds familiar, now that I type it.
@cwebber -
@cwebber wish we had LHC on that graph
@darkuncle @cwebber It would basically be indistinguishable from the x-axis
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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber Marx said that capitalism requires periodic destruction of capital. Just sayin'
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@cwebber Marx said that capitalism requires periodic destruction of capital. Just sayin'
@shane_kerr @cwebber Crisis of overproduction here we come

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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber It feels like we’re creating a new ”oil”. On purpose.
A global dependency on compute cycles, with control in very few private hands.
Ready to hold the world hostage line Iran in the Strait of Hormuz..
This is genuinely scary shit.

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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber this is a mind boggling waste of money

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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber are those inflation corrected values? Apollo dollars were about 4x of today's dollars iirc
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@musicman
I've been working my way through _Railroaded_ https://app.thestorygraph.com/books/ac561c89-bdeb-453c-be0a-348eb2f288e5 and if anything it makes me think the railroad line is *too steep* - railroads in the second half of the 19th century were massively over-leveraged and overbuilt (especially in the American West), and a very large fraction of the investment went into the pockets of the financiers rather than into construction. Which... sounds familiar, now that I type it.
@cwebber@flashesofpanic @musicman @cwebber
Niall Ferguson has observed that financial crashes precipitate wars, big ones
The bankruptcy of the corrupt Canadian railroad private-public partnerships in the early 20th century started a domino that cascaded into WW1
The story of Canadian National Railway
Explore Canadian National Railway’s history, freight dominance, privatisation, Bill Gates’ stake, pandemic impact and why investors value rail infrastructure.
(freetrade.io)
Historian Sarah Paine talks how the wealthy's response to the corruption & crash of 1929 led to WW2 & 90 million deaths.
Corruption, crash, war -- a not-lovely cycle
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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber Adjusted for GDP, it is still pretty respectable
Not quite the Marshall Plan, way behind railroads https://x.com/finmoorhouse/status/2044985359281381690?s=20
Still it just seems impossible. Does this represent orgs with committed budgets or actual spend? We can make warehouse style buildings almost instantly but we can’t make GPUs that fast.
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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
@cwebber the railway situation makes a lot of sense in this context
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@cwebber this is a mind boggling waste of money

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> The hyperscalers have already outspent the most famous US megaprojects
this looks sustainable, datacenters are a one-time cost... right?!?
Much of this will turn out to be wasted
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@cwebber are those inflation corrected values? Apollo dollars were about 4x of today's dollars iirc