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CIRCLE WITH A DOT

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  3. Another somewhat breathless article positing a planned executive-branch takeover of elections, this time declaring a "national emergency".

Another somewhat breathless article positing a planned executive-branch takeover of elections, this time declaring a "national emergency".

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  • mattblaze@federate.socialM mattblaze@federate.social

    Another somewhat breathless article positing a planned executive-branch takeover of elections, this time declaring a "national emergency".

    There's no telling what Trump might include in an executive order, but whether he can actually carry any of these sweeping proposals out (constitutionality aside) is another story altogether.

    The midterms are less than 9 months away, which is simply not enough time to extensively alter voting tech or procedures.

    https://wapo.st/3N5cpEn

    mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
    mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
    mattblaze@federate.social
    wrote last edited by
    #2

    The supposed draft order (which apparently was written by MAGA activists, not the WH itself) calls for eliminating "voting machines" and no-excuse mail-in voting. "Voting machines" isn't defined, but presumably means electronic ballot tabulators, which are used in some form almost everywhere. And mail-in voting has become either the primary voting method or a very popular one in many states.

    mattblaze@federate.socialM johnmashey@mstdn.socialJ 2 Replies Last reply
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    • mattblaze@federate.socialM mattblaze@federate.social

      The supposed draft order (which apparently was written by MAGA activists, not the WH itself) calls for eliminating "voting machines" and no-excuse mail-in voting. "Voting machines" isn't defined, but presumably means electronic ballot tabulators, which are used in some form almost everywhere. And mail-in voting has become either the primary voting method or a very popular one in many states.

      mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
      mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
      mattblaze@federate.social
      wrote last edited by
      #3

      Anyway, I don't think wild arm-flapping is a particularly useful response to this nonsense. Better, I think, to respond to specific proposals and orders rather than vague right-wing wish lists.

      jalefkowit@vmst.ioJ mattblaze@federate.socialM 2 Replies Last reply
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      • mattblaze@federate.socialM mattblaze@federate.social

        Anyway, I don't think wild arm-flapping is a particularly useful response to this nonsense. Better, I think, to respond to specific proposals and orders rather than vague right-wing wish lists.

        jalefkowit@vmst.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
        jalefkowit@vmst.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
        jalefkowit@vmst.io
        wrote last edited by
        #4

        @mattblaze Yeah. My first thought is that this plot (if a plot it is) has dropped at a really weird time: too late to ride on Trump's immediate post-election seeming invulnerability; too soon to work as an excuse to occupy polling places at the last minute by surprise.

        Of course all the people involved in these things are totally incompetent, so you can't rule out that they wanted it to come sooner or later but couldn't get their act together to make it happen

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        • mattblaze@federate.socialM mattblaze@federate.social

          Anyway, I don't think wild arm-flapping is a particularly useful response to this nonsense. Better, I think, to respond to specific proposals and orders rather than vague right-wing wish lists.

          mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
          mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
          mattblaze@federate.social
          wrote last edited by
          #5

          I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that there *are* real risks involving electronic vote tabulators, but also that there are statistically rigorous, efficient methods for assuring high-integrity elections even when untrustworthy technology is compromised. Search "risk-limiting audits" for details.

          mattblaze@federate.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
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          • mattblaze@federate.socialM mattblaze@federate.social

            I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that there *are* real risks involving electronic vote tabulators, but also that there are statistically rigorous, efficient methods for assuring high-integrity elections even when untrustworthy technology is compromised. Search "risk-limiting audits" for details.

            mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
            mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
            mattblaze@federate.social
            wrote last edited by
            #6

            As to the substance of Trump's claims about the 2020 election: there are technical weaknesses in parts of US election infrastructure, but there is simply no evidence that any US election outcome has been altered through them. And none of these proposed "safeguards" being floated by the administration actually addresses real problems that elections have. But imposing them would cause significant disruption. (Whether that is an intended outcome is a question I can't answer.)

            hyc@mastodon.socialH 1 Reply Last reply
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            • mattblaze@federate.socialM mattblaze@federate.social

              The supposed draft order (which apparently was written by MAGA activists, not the WH itself) calls for eliminating "voting machines" and no-excuse mail-in voting. "Voting machines" isn't defined, but presumably means electronic ballot tabulators, which are used in some form almost everywhere. And mail-in voting has become either the primary voting method or a very popular one in many states.

              johnmashey@mstdn.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
              johnmashey@mstdn.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
              johnmashey@mstdn.social
              wrote last edited by
              #7

              @mattblaze
              Yes. I doubt that anyone who’s had mail-in voting would be real happy giving it up.

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              • mattblaze@federate.socialM mattblaze@federate.social

                As to the substance of Trump's claims about the 2020 election: there are technical weaknesses in parts of US election infrastructure, but there is simply no evidence that any US election outcome has been altered through them. And none of these proposed "safeguards" being floated by the administration actually addresses real problems that elections have. But imposing them would cause significant disruption. (Whether that is an intended outcome is a question I can't answer.)

                hyc@mastodon.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                hyc@mastodon.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                hyc@mastodon.social
                wrote last edited by
                #8

                @mattblaze given the specificity of the measures, and the inevitability of their impact, you're not even willing to opine on the intent behind them?

                It seems like saying "here's a living person, they're proposing to administer cyanide to them. This will be highly disruptive but I can't say if that's their intent."

                mattblaze@federate.socialM hyc@mastodon.socialH 2 Replies Last reply
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                • hyc@mastodon.socialH hyc@mastodon.social

                  @mattblaze given the specificity of the measures, and the inevitability of their impact, you're not even willing to opine on the intent behind them?

                  It seems like saying "here's a living person, they're proposing to administer cyanide to them. This will be highly disruptive but I can't say if that's their intent."

                  mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mattblaze@federate.social
                  wrote last edited by
                  #9

                  @hyc I guess I’m just not very good at mind reading.

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                  • hyc@mastodon.socialH hyc@mastodon.social

                    @mattblaze given the specificity of the measures, and the inevitability of their impact, you're not even willing to opine on the intent behind them?

                    It seems like saying "here's a living person, they're proposing to administer cyanide to them. This will be highly disruptive but I can't say if that's their intent."

                    hyc@mastodon.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                    hyc@mastodon.socialH This user is from outside of this forum
                    hyc@mastodon.social
                    wrote last edited by
                    #10

                    @mattblaze one has to wonder:
                    is there any possibility of a beneficial impact of their proposals?
                    is there any possibility they are unaware of the negative impact?

                    When both of those are vanishingly small, there's little else left to conclude.

                    mattblaze@federate.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • hyc@mastodon.socialH hyc@mastodon.social

                      @mattblaze one has to wonder:
                      is there any possibility of a beneficial impact of their proposals?
                      is there any possibility they are unaware of the negative impact?

                      When both of those are vanishingly small, there's little else left to conclude.

                      mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                      mattblaze@federate.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                      mattblaze@federate.social
                      wrote last edited by
                      #11

                      @hyc I said what I said, based on the information that I have. I hope this background information and context is helpful to some. My speculation on anything else is no more or less valid than anyone else’s, and so I see no particular reason to include it.

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